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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–4 on winners
spread MAE 8.8
13 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+7.6 | 152.8 | 78% | 60–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.1 | 146.3 | 50% | 82–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.4 | 137.6 | 59% | 71–80 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.0 | 140.9 | 54% | 63–64 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.0 | 148.2 | 43% | 57–60 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.0 | 154.0 | 78% | 71–81 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.1 | 154.4 | 46% | 72–92 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.5 | 134.0 | 41% | 57–43 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.4 | 139.2 | 69% | 72–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.4 | 127.7 | 41% | 66–46 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.3 | 141.2 | 71% | 64–70 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.6 | 137.6 | 46% | 79–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.9 | 129.0 | 54% | 72–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.