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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.1
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-0.0 | 141.3 | 46% | 74–61 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.0 | 155.6 | 59% | 72–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.8 | 138.0 | 77% | 62–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.5 | 153.5 | 59% | 92–76 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.3 | 128.8 | 43% | 71–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.2 | 159.9 | 66% | 68–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.4 | 134.7 | 73% | 69–56 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.