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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
11–2 on winners
spread MAE 8.0
13 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Syracuse
@
Virginia
|
+7.1 | 134.2 | 77% | 58–81 | ✓ |
Southern Illinois
@
Indiana State
|
+4.8 | 136.7 | 72% | 66–69 | ✓ |
Loyola Chicago
@
Bradley
|
-5.3 | 129.9 | 28% | 65–58 | ✓ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
-10.5 | 136.9 | 17% | 73–56 | ✓ |
Texas Tech
@
West Virginia
|
+3.0 | 140.6 | 64% | 87–88 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
UNLV
|
-5.3 | 136.6 | 27% | 56–59 | ✗ |
Oklahoma State
@
Iowa State
|
-7.4 | 143.3 | 26% | 81–60 | ✓ |
Southern
@
Alabama State
|
-7.8 | 127.8 | 20% | 64–66 | ✗ |
Arizona State
@
Arizona
|
+11.2 | 158.4 | 86% | 67–80 | ✓ |
Tulsa
@
Temple
|
+0.9 | 128.7 | 55% | 67–76 | ✓ |
|
Southern Illinois
@
Indiana State
|
+4.8 | 135.1 | 73% | 59–71 | ✓ |
Richmond
@
Saint Joseph's
|
-8.4 | 156.4 | 20% | 79–56 | ✓ |
Western Michigan
@
Ohio
|
+10.8 | 144.9 | 87% | 58–81 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.