Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | ISU +250 OKST -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +21 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -7.6 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -7.4 (-13.6) | 143.3 (-2.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -6.5 (-14.5) | 143.8 (-2.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -7.7 (-13.3) | 144.5 (-3.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -7.7 (-13.3) | 145.6 (-4.6) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | ISU 84 – 71 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | ISU 83 – 71 OKST |
| Feb 26, 2025 | OKST 74 – 68 ISU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | ISU 66 – 42 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2023 | OKST 64 – 56 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-22 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 11-7 |
| Home | 2-10 | 10-3 |
| Away | 0-11 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#169) | 9.8 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#260) | 2.80 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#267) | 4.08 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#199) | 0.607 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 13.3% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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