Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | TEM +120 TLSA -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -0.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -0.9 (+8.1) | 128.7 (+14.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -0.7 (+8.3) | 131.8 (+11.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -1.4 (+7.6) | 128.8 (+14.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -0.6 (+8.4) | 129.4 (+13.6) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TLSA 78 – 76 TEM |
| Mar 13, 2025 | TLSA 75 – 71 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | TEM 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TLSA 80 – 74 TEM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TLSA 72 – 67 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-11 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 3-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 2-5 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#126) | 4.9 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#83) | 1.92 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#65) | 1.97 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#94) | 0.545 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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