The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · January 26, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread TTU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money WVU +125 / TTU -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual WVU +1 175 Won
Massey WVU -0.2 (+0.8) — —
Massey Totals — 136.0 (+39.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 65% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 63% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -3.0 (-2.0) 140.6 (+34.4) 64% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WVU -1.2 (-0.2) 138.8 (+36.2) 66% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WVU -3.0 (-2.0) 142.7 (+32.3) 72% ✓
Baseline ML WVU -2.6 (-1.6) 142.1 (+32.9) 66% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 TTU 70 – 63 WVU
Feb 22, 2025 TTU 73 – 51 WVU
Mar 2, 2024 TTU 81 – 70 WVU
Mar 9, 2023 WVU 78 – 62 TTU
Feb 18, 2023 TTU 78 – 72 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU TTU
Overall 19-10 18-11
Conference 11-6 9-8
Home 8-5 11-4
Away 7-2 5-4
Neutral 4-3 2-3
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.3 72.5
Avg Pts Against 72.0 63.2
Massey 13.5 (#28) 15.8 (#12)
Bradley-Terry 2.96 (#13) 2.77 (#21)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.84 (#17) 3.81 (#19)
RPI 0.652 (#8) 0.569 (#71)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU TTU
FG% 41.7% 43.8%
3PT% 34.7% 32.6%
REB / G 40.1 36.5
OREB / G 14.7 12.5
AST / TO 1.16 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.1% 49.1%
TOV% 16.9% 16.7%
ORB% 37.3% 35.1%
FT Rate 24.1% 31.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 45.4%
Opp TOV% 21.5% 25.9%
DRB% 68.5% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.3% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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