Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -175 ASU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -11.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -11.2 (+1.8) | 158.4 (-11.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -10.3 (+2.7) | 154.7 (-7.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -12.7 (+0.3) | 161.5 (-14.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -11.6 (+1.4) | 158.5 (-11.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARIZ 87 – 74 ASU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 82 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ARIZ 113 – 100 ASU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ARIZ 81 – 72 ASU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ARIZ 85 – 67 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#30) | 3.8 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#52) | 0.18 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#46) | 0.43 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#49) | 0.515 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.