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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–3 on winners
spread MAE 14.3
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kansas City
@
Oral Roberts
|
+4.9 | 138.2 | 75% | 81–76 | ✗ |
San Diego State
@
Air Force
|
-14.1 | 131.6 | 13% | 91–59 | ✓ |
Radford
@
UNC Asheville
|
+2.2 | 143.8 | 63% | 73–63 | ✗ |
Charleston Southern
@
Gardner-Webb
|
+14.6 | 139.4 | 89% | 71–80 | ✓ |
Loyola Marymount
@
Portland
|
-8.2 | 143.7 | 19% | 75–50 | ✓ |
Presbyterian
@
High Point
|
+8.2 | 129.5 | 79% | 71–56 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.