Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | PORT +450 LMU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +25 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -9.9 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -8.2 (-16.8) | 143.7 (-18.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -9.1 (-15.9) | 142.3 (-17.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -9.3 (-15.7) | 145.0 (-20.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -8.9 (-16.1) | 143.2 (-18.2) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PORT 71 – 58 LMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | PORT 89 – 78 LMU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LMU 88 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PORT 78 – 70 LMU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PORT 70 – 60 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-15 | 13-9 |
| Conference | 0-11 | 7-5 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-3 |
| Away | 1-6 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.1 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#312) | 2.2 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#265) | 0.71 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#294) | 0.65 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#254) | 0.516 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.