Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | HPU -350 PRES +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +15 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | HPU -10.1 (-25.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -8.2 (-23.2) | 129.5 (-2.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -7.5 (-22.5) | 124.7 (+2.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -8.2 (-23.2) | 128.1 (-1.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -8.4 (-23.4) | 130.3 (-3.3) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | HPU 79 – 73 PRES |
| Jan 30, 2026 | HPU 84 – 81 PRES |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HPU 84 – 72 PRES |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HPU 77 – 66 PRES |
| Feb 4, 2024 | HPU 78 – 68 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 5-12 |
| Home | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#251) | -12.9 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#306) | -2.59 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#293) | -3.66 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#299) | 0.355 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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