I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Summit League · Mabee Center · January 25, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money ORU -250 / KC +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORU win
Actual KC +5 157 Lost
Massey ORU -5.1 (-10.1) — —
Massey Totals — 136.9 (+20.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML ORU -4.9 (-9.9) 138.2 (+18.8) 75% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORU -4.8 (-9.8) 133.9 (+23.1) 65% ✗
Baseline Plus ML ORU -5.1 (-10.1) 136.2 (+20.8) 67% ✗
Baseline ML ORU -5.5 (-10.5) 137.5 (+19.5) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 ORU 84 – 62 KC
Mar 1, 2026 ORU 94 – 70 KC
Feb 13, 2026 ORU 69 – 60 KC
Mar 6, 2025 KC 73 – 56 ORU
Feb 2, 2025 ORU 73 – 67 KC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORU KC
Overall 18-11 11-13
Conference 10-5 7-7
Home 8-3 8-3
Away 5-7 2-8
Neutral 5-1 0-2
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 78.9 62.4
Avg Pts Against 77.2 64.6
Massey -0.1 (#163) -2.7 (#213)
Bradley-Terry -0.54 (#210) -2.61 (#328)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.21 (#181) -2.66 (#312)
RPI 0.510 (#154) 0.405 (#302)
Shooting & Four Factors ORU KC
FG% 43.6% 44.8%
3PT% 37.6% 33.1%
REB / G 34.5 30.0
OREB / G 9.7 7.7
AST / TO 0.91 0.73
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 50.1%
TOV% 17.5% 22.0%
ORB% 26.9% 24.3%
FT Rate 21.7% 16.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 21.6%
DRB% 66.5% 75.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.2% 41.5%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.