Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Big South Conference · Paul Porter Arena · January 25, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread GWEB -12.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money GWEB -800 / CHSO +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total GWEB win
Actual GWEB +9 151 Won
Massey GWEB -18.0 (-9.0) — —
Massey Totals — 134.5 (+16.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GWEB -14.6 (-5.6) 139.4 (+11.6) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GWEB -13.7 (-4.7) 143.5 (+7.5) 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GWEB -15.4 (-6.4) 142.4 (+8.6) 90% ✓
Baseline ML GWEB -15.3 (-6.3) 141.3 (+9.7) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2026 CHSO 75 – 66 GWEB
Dec 31, 2025 CHSO 89 – 79 GWEB
Feb 8, 2025 CHSO 79 – 72 GWEB
Jan 2, 2025 CHSO 72 – 63 GWEB
Feb 15, 2024 GWEB 85 – 77 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GWEB CHSO
Overall 11-15 3-18
Conference 10-10 2-15
Home 7-4 1-9
Away 4-11 2-8
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 70.7 64.0
Avg Pts Against 68.4 74.5
Massey 0.0 (#160) -15.4 (#338)
Bradley-Terry -1.15 (#266) -4.52 (#345)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.38 (#259) -6.05 (#344)
RPI 0.487 (#188) 0.372 (#329)
Shooting & Four Factors GWEB CHSO
FG% 43.3% 38.8%
3PT% 35.9% 30.8%
REB / G 35.9 35.0
OREB / G 9.4 9.7
AST / TO 1.13 0.52
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 45.1%
TOV% 17.8% 25.4%
ORB% 25.5% 26.1%
FT Rate 20.9% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 52.7%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 18.8%
DRB% 74.1% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 26.3% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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