Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -1400 WMU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +23 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -14.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -10.8 (+12.2) | 144.9 (-5.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -10.5 (+12.5) | 139.8 (-0.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -12.4 (+10.6) | 144.1 (-5.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -11.4 (+11.6) | 145.0 (-6.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | OHIO 91 – 71 WMU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WMU 82 – 73 OHIO |
| Feb 5, 2025 | OHIO 94 – 69 WMU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OHIO 82 – 55 WMU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WMU 81 – 79 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-8 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 4-12 |
| Home | 8-3 | 2-9 |
| Away | 4-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#110) | -7.6 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#162) | -2.58 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#150) | -2.77 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#132) | 0.377 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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