Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UAPB +400 PV -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +17 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | PV -14.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -10.5 (-6.5) | 136.9 (-7.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -10.6 (-6.4) | 131.6 (-2.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -10.7 (-6.3) | 134.5 (-5.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -9.6 (-7.4) | 135.3 (-6.3) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 82 PV |
| Jan 13, 2026 | PV 73 – 61 UAPB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UAPB 75 – 64 PV |
| Jan 13, 2025 | PV 75 – 64 UAPB |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UAPB 72 – 59 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-21 | 16-5 |
| Conference | 3-12 | 13-0 |
| Home | 2-3 | 8-0 |
| Away | 2-17 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.0 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -20.6 (#346) | -4.0 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#322) | -0.16 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.13 (#335) | -0.64 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#317) | 0.486 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.0% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 26.4% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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