Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–4 on winners spread MAE 10.8 14 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Miami +2.3 144.1 68% 59–81 ✓
Lafayette @ Holy Cross -2.0 130.3 35% 72–58 ✓
Green Bay @ Milwaukee +15.8 143.4 89% 80–79 ✗
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona +1.9 148.0 60% 75–70 ✗
Grambling @ Alabama A&M -4.1 137.0 35% 66–60 ✓
Florida A&M @ Prairie View A&M +8.7 129.0 75% 45–75 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State +0.0 141.2 55% 84–88 ✓
Southern @ Alabama State -5.5 139.4 32% 66–73 ✗
Texas @ Kansas +2.2 148.2 59% 80–88 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Texas Southern +3.5 145.9 65% 62–69 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State +11.1 138.8 87% 70–81 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Colorado -0.5 141.6 45% 54–88 ✗
Marquette @ UConn +5.5 153.3 74% 72–87 ✓
Rutgers @ Indiana +2.6 133.6 69% 60–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.