Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | JKST -150 UAPB +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +4 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -2.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+31.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -0.0 (+4.0) | 141.7 (+30.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -1.2 (+2.8) | 140.3 (+31.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -0.3 (+3.7) | 140.5 (+31.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -0.0 (+4.0) | 141.2 (+30.8) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | JKST 81 – 78 UAPB |
| Feb 9, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 63 JKST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JKST 76 – 69 UAPB |
| Feb 11, 2025 | JKST 94 – 78 UAPB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | JKST 89 – 84 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-14 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#329) | -8.4 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#326) | -1.28 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#347) | -1.66 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#331) | 0.433 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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