Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +175 GRAM -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +6 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -4.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -3.7 (-2.3) | 137.1 (-11.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -3.2 (-2.8) | 133.9 (-7.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -4.3 (-1.7) | 136.3 (-10.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -4.1 (-1.9) | 137.0 (-11.0) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AAMU 77 – 63 GRAM |
| Feb 10, 2026 | AAMU 66 – 58 GRAM |
| Mar 11, 2025 | GRAM 73 – 56 AAMU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | GRAM 67 – 51 AAMU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | GRAM 72 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-8 | 11-1 |
| Away | 5-8 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#330) | -2.3 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#333) | -0.06 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#333) | 0.05 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#356) | 0.484 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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