Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -1400 GB +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +1 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -21.0 (-22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -16.3 (-17.3) | 141.9 (+17.1) | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -14.8 (-15.8) | 144.4 (+14.6) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -15.3 (-16.3) | 141.8 (+17.2) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -15.8 (-16.8) | 143.4 (+15.6) | 89% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | MILW 75 – 72 GB |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GB 79 – 76 MILW |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MILW 70 – 59 GB |
| Dec 12, 2024 | MILW 88 – 67 GB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MILW 95 – 84 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 15-3 | 2-10 |
| Away | 6-7 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#197) | -18.8 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#140) | -3.28 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#166) | -3.97 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#102) | 0.362 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 27.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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