That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Big Sky Conference · Bank of Colorado Arena · February 7, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UNCO -1.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money UNCO -154 / WEB +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNCO win
Actual UNCO +34 142 Won
Massey WEB -0.5 (+34.5) — —
Massey Totals — 141.4 (+0.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 48% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 54% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WEB -1.0 (+35.0) 137.5 (+4.5) 44% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WEB -0.8 (+34.8) 136.4 (+5.6) 46% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WEB -0.4 (+34.4) 140.0 (+2.0) 48% ✗
Baseline ML WEB -0.5 (+34.5) 141.6 (+0.4) 45% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 UNCO 88 – 74 WEB
Jan 11, 2026 WEB 76 – 71 UNCO
Mar 9, 2025 UNCO 76 – 52 WEB
Mar 4, 2025 UNCO 68 – 63 WEB
Jan 3, 2025 UNCO 89 – 72 WEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNCO WEB
Overall 12-20 18-15
Conference 6-12 12-6
Home 6-7 8-4
Away 3-12 8-8
Neutral 3-1 2-3
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.7 66.3
Avg Pts Against 77.7 67.9
Massey -5.6 (#269) -1.5 (#203)
Bradley-Terry -0.93 (#267) -0.19 (#195)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.12 (#265) -0.53 (#219)
RPI 0.450 (#275) 0.485 (#207)
Shooting & Four Factors UNCO WEB
FG% 43.2% 44.2%
3PT% 36.1% 33.5%
REB / G 32.2 30.7
OREB / G 8.2 6.1
AST / TO 0.92 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.6% 50.7%
TOV% 18.5% 20.2%
ORB% 24.1% 20.1%
FT Rate 22.6% 27.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.7% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 14.7% 19.2%
DRB% 72.3% 78.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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