Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–4 on winners spread MAE 9.6 14 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Texas State @ North Texas +10.5 122.7 76% 63–67 ✓
Cleveland State @ Xavier +13.1 154.9 87% 68–72 ✓
Alcorn State @ Texas A&M +17.6 141.1 88% 62–74 ✓
Oregon @ Utah State +7.9 145.0 74% 83–72 ✗
Indiana @ Wyoming -1.9 132.8 41% 66–58 ✓
Santa Clara @ Washington State +6.5 152.5 71% 50–63 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Colorado +6.3 140.3 69% 76–68 ✗
Bryant @ Wright State +1.0 150.7 52% 82–93 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Florida Gulf Coast +5.6 153.1 70% 79–95 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Coastal Carolina +10.4 133.4 84% 42–66 ✓
Towson @ Wake Forest +6.7 145.6 69% 64–74 ✓
Dayton @ Toledo +2.8 142.9 55% 74–55 ✗
Mississippi State @ Virginia +1.5 127.2 49% 57–60 ✓
Merrimack @ UMBC +6.5 99.3 69% 1–0 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.