Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -146 DETM +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +16 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -4.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -4.4 (+11.6) | 151.8 (+22.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -4.8 (+11.2) | 154.0 (+20.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -5.6 (+10.4) | 153.1 (+20.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -5.1 (+10.9) | 152.7 (+21.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#200) | -3.4 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#187) | -0.83 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#201) | -1.03 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#167) | 0.488 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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