Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -145 BRY +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +11 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -1.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -1.7 (+9.3) | 152.6 (+22.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -0.5 (+10.5) | 151.9 (+23.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -1.0 (+10.0) | 150.7 (+24.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -2.1 (+8.9) | 151.0 (+24.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 15-7 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#185) | -2.1 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#205) | -0.03 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#204) | -0.06 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#171) | 0.521 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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