Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -3.5 Away covered |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +8 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -2.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -2.2 (-5.8) | 132.5 (-8.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -1.6 (-6.4) | 133.9 (-9.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -1.9 (-6.1) | 132.8 (-8.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -1.9 (-6.1) | 133.9 (-9.9) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#61) | 11.3 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#30) | 1.81 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#39) | 2.27 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#30) | 0.543 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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