← All models
Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–4 on winners
spread MAE 7.5
13 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Syracuse
@
Virginia
|
+8.0 | 134.7 | 77% | 58–81 | ✓ |
Southern Illinois
@
Indiana State
|
+7.0 | 138.6 | 74% | 66–69 | ✓ |
Loyola Chicago
@
Bradley
|
-8.2 | 126.4 | 23% | 65–58 | ✓ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
-14.7 | 138.2 | 9% | 73–56 | ✓ |
Texas Tech
@
West Virginia
|
-0.2 | 135.9 | 49% | 87–88 | ✗ |
Utah State
@
UNLV
|
-7.9 | 139.2 | 24% | 56–59 | ✗ |
Oklahoma State
@
Iowa State
|
-7.6 | 144.7 | 24% | 81–60 | ✓ |
Southern
@
Alabama State
|
-10.3 | 122.4 | 17% | 64–66 | ✗ |
Arizona State
@
Arizona
|
+12.5 | 161.3 | 87% | 67–80 | ✓ |
Tulsa
@
Temple
|
-0.2 | 123.3 | 49% | 67–76 | ✗ |
|
Southern Illinois
@
Indiana State
|
+7.0 | 138.6 | 74% | 59–71 | ✓ |
Richmond
@
Saint Joseph's
|
-10.5 | 167.5 | 17% | 79–56 | ✓ |
Western Michigan
@
Ohio
|
+13.2 | 142.9 | 88% | 58–81 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.