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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–3 on winners
spread MAE 14.2
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kansas City
@
Oral Roberts
|
+5.4 | 136.2 | 69% | 81–76 | ✗ |
San Diego State
@
Air Force
|
-17.3 | 123.1 | 6% | 91–59 | ✓ |
Radford
@
UNC Asheville
|
+2.1 | 142.3 | 58% | 73–63 | ✗ |
Charleston Southern
@
Gardner-Webb
|
+17.7 | 135.3 | 95% | 71–80 | ✓ |
Loyola Marymount
@
Portland
|
-10.1 | 145.8 | 18% | 75–50 | ✓ |
Presbyterian
@
High Point
|
+9.6 | 128.9 | 81% | 71–56 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.