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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–6 on winners
spread MAE 9.8
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William & Mary
@
George Washington
|
+4.0 | 162.5 | 64% | 85–84 | ✗ |
Central Arkansas
@
Ole Miss
|
+18.3 | 149.4 | 95% | 54–68 | ✓ |
Marquette
@
Creighton
|
+12.5 | 146.1 | 87% | 89–84 | ✗ |
Nevada
@
San Diego
|
-2.0 | 136.5 | 43% | 79–72 | ✓ |
Houston Christian
@
Rice
|
+24.4 | 141.9 | 99% | 79–90 | ✓ |
Chicago State
@
Illinois State
|
+26.7 | 141.9 | 99% | 62–91 | ✓ |
Stanford
@
Cal State Northridge
|
-3.1 | 142.7 | 39% | 82–71 | ✓ |
St. Francis Brooklyn
@
Central Connecticut
|
+0.8 | 168.4 | 53% | 91–86 | ✗ |
Buffalo
@
Miami (OH)
|
+3.8 | 137.4 | 64% | 90–62 | ✗ |
Longwood
@
Radford
|
-0.3 | 127.9 | 49% | 53–62 | ✗ |
Coastal Carolina
@
Wofford
|
+5.4 | 134.0 | 69% | 77–88 | ✓ |
Clemson
@
Virginia Tech
|
-3.7 | 119.7 | 37% | 60–66 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.