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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–3 on winners
spread MAE 13.5
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. John's
@
Georgetown
|
+4.5 | 154.0 | 66% | 94–97 | ✓ |
Sam Houston
@
LSU
|
+36.2 | 159.3 | 100% | 66–88 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Maryland
|
+14.3 | 149.0 | 90% | 74–60 | ✗ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
Morehead State
|
-8.3 | 141.5 | 22% | 62–75 | ✗ |
Longwood
@
Radford
|
-1.0 | 124.5 | 46% | 66–67 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.