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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
12–4 on winners
spread MAE 9.7
16 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas
@
Tennessee
|
+3.7 | 142.3 | 68% | 58–62 | ✓ |
Duquesne
@
Illinois
|
+8.1 | 143.8 | 77% | 63–89 | ✓ |
Oregon
@
Creighton
|
+4.8 | 143.3 | 65% | 73–86 | ✓ |
Northern Colorado
@
Cleveland State
|
+1.0 | 150.9 | 60% | 49–51 | ✓ |
Colorado
@
Marquette
|
+2.3 | 144.1 | 63% | 77–81 | ✓ |
Montana
@
Presbyterian
|
-6.7 | 141.7 | 22% | 82–79 | ✓ |
Minnesota
@
Indiana State
|
+9.2 | 156.4 | 81% | 64–76 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
Purdue
|
+7.3 | 153.0 | 77% | 67–106 | ✓ |
Fairfield
@
Little Rock
|
-1.9 | 145.6 | 41% | 82–75 | ✓ |
Georgia
@
Wake Forest
|
+9.1 | 151.6 | 70% | 72–66 | ✗ |
James Madison
@
Duke
|
+5.9 | 142.5 | 69% | 55–93 | ✓ |
Quinnipiac
@
Evansville
|
-3.5 | 143.0 | 28% | 63–64 | ✗ |
Clemson
@
Baylor
|
+2.8 | 144.5 | 61% | 72–64 | ✗ |
Grand Canyon
@
Alabama
|
+4.9 | 163.1 | 68% | 61–72 | ✓ |
VCU
@
South Florida
|
+1.1 | 138.4 | 53% | 70–65 | ✗ |
Northwestern
@
UConn
|
+9.2 | 135.2 | 85% | 58–75 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.