Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -213 COLO +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -3.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -2.3 (+1.7) | 146.2 (+11.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -2.3 (+1.7) | 144.1 (+13.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -2.2 (+1.8) | 145.2 (+12.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -2.5 (+1.5) | 144.3 (+13.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#16) | 13.7 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#9) | 2.18 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#11) | 2.63 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#15) | 0.595 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.