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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–4 on winners
spread MAE 11.8
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kent State
@
Toledo
|
-0.5 | 152.2 | 44% | 93–78 | ✓ |
Marist
@
Iona
|
+13.2 | 137.9 | 86% | 55–76 | ✓ |
Duke
@
Virginia
|
-1.3 | 122.7 | 37% | 59–49 | ✓ |
UAB
@
Florida Atlantic
|
+1.3 | 151.0 | 55% | 56–78 | ✓ |
Cal State Fullerton
@
UC Santa Barbara
|
+0.7 | 133.7 | 54% | 62–72 | ✓ |
Arizona
@
UCLA
|
+2.3 | 143.4 | 56% | 61–59 | ✗ |
Grand Canyon
@
Southern Utah
|
+0.1 | 150.0 | 51% | 84–66 | ✗ |
Princeton
@
Yale
|
+4.0 | 141.9 | 65% | 74–65 | ✗ |
Texas A&M
@
Alabama
|
+5.0 | 146.1 | 61% | 63–82 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
VCU
|
+0.3 | 127.0 | 60% | 56–68 | ✓ |
Memphis
@
Houston
|
+6.0 | 132.9 | 73% | 75–65 | ✗ |
Penn State
@
Purdue
|
+5.7 | 131.9 | 73% | 65–67 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.