Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -167 PRIN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +9 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -5.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -4.7 (-13.7) | 142.3 (-3.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -4.0 (-13.0) | 141.9 (-2.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -4.9 (-13.9) | 143.0 (-4.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -4.6 (-13.6) | 143.1 (-4.1) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | YALE 78 – 53 PRIN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRIN 76 – 60 YALE |
| Mar 15, 2025 | YALE 59 – 57 PRIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YALE 84 – 57 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | YALE 77 – 70 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 10-4 |
| Home | 10-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#49) | 4.2 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#87) | 0.55 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#79) | 0.74 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#55) | 0.542 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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