Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -133 DAY +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +12 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -0.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -1.2 (+10.8) | 127.1 (-3.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -0.3 (+11.7) | 127.0 (-3.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -1.2 (+10.8) | 128.9 (-4.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -0.8 (+11.2) | 130.2 (-6.2) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | VCU 70 – 62 DAY |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VCU 68 – 62 DAY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | VCU 99 – 73 DAY |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DAY 79 – 76 VCU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VCU 73 – 68 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#69) | 7.9 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#48) | 1.00 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#58) | 1.42 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#23) | 0.549 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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