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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
10–4 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
14 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas State
@
North Texas
|
+10.0 | 116.7 | 81% | 63–67 | ✓ |
Cleveland State
@
Xavier
|
+11.8 | 151.5 | 87% | 68–72 | ✓ |
Alcorn State
@
Texas A&M
|
+16.1 | 139.2 | 89% | 62–74 | ✓ |
Oregon
@
Utah State
|
+5.3 | 143.3 | 72% | 83–72 | ✗ |
Indiana
@
Wyoming
|
-2.2 | 132.5 | 41% | 66–58 | ✓ |
Santa Clara
@
Washington State
|
+6.9 | 148.7 | 77% | 50–63 | ✓ |
St. Bonaventure
@
Colorado
|
+5.1 | 137.5 | 72% | 76–68 | ✗ |
Bryant
@
Wright State
|
+1.7 | 152.6 | 55% | 82–93 | ✓ |
Detroit Mercy
@
Florida Gulf Coast
|
+4.4 | 151.8 | 66% | 79–95 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
Coastal Carolina
|
+9.9 | 132.1 | 81% | 42–66 | ✓ |
Towson
@
Wake Forest
|
+5.3 | 143.6 | 72% | 64–74 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
Toledo
|
+1.9 | 136.8 | 56% | 74–55 | ✗ |
Mississippi State
@
Virginia
|
+0.9 | 120.8 | 55% | 57–60 | ✓ |
Merrimack
@
UMBC
|
+7.5 | 101.7 | 69% | 1–0 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.