That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–4 on winners spread MAE 8.6 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Alabama +15.3 148.1 87% 87–80 ✗
Alcorn State @ Howard +3.4 144.5 61% 64–72 ✓
Le Moyne @ Massachusetts +8.6 141.2 77% 80–94 ✓
Monmouth @ Seton Hall +15.7 131.5 87% 58–70 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Columbia +20.6 142.9 90% 72–86 ✓
Southern Miss @ Grambling -0.5 147.0 50% 70–75 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Wichita State +19.7 143.9 90% 74–95 ✓
Florida International @ LSU +23.6 149.1 91% 81–98 ✓
Green Bay @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +4.0 142.4 66% 61–80 ✓
UL Monroe @ Houston Christian +7.3 146.3 78% 61–72 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Alabama A&M +0.4 149.7 50% 64–68 ✓
California @ Kansas State +7.5 145.6 73% 96–99 ✓
Central Michigan @ Coppin State -6.1 138.7 27% 82–59 ✓
Lehigh @ Rutgers +14.8 136.2 86% 72–84 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Eastern Michigan +14.3 156.1 86% 90–83 ✗
Lindenwood @ Charleston Southern +8.3 150.0 83% 83–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.