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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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9–2 on winners spread MAE 9.1 11 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma @ UConn +4.2 143.2 65% 59–67 ✓
Xavier @ Illinois +6.2 162.5 72% 73–86 ✓
Bryant @ Michigan State +19.2 149.9 90% 62–87 ✓
Liberty @ Oregon +8.0 139.3 76% 52–81 ✓
Dayton @ Chattanooga +0.7 152.7 53% 72–87 ✓
McNeese @ Purdue +8.4 140.3 80% 62–76 ✓
Bradley @ George Mason +4.0 130.7 70% 75–67 ✗
Arkansas @ St. John's +5.9 144.5 76% 75–66 ✗
Michigan @ Texas A&M -1.2 142.3 50% 91–79 ✓
Drake @ Texas Tech +9.4 131.4 82% 64–77 ✓
Creighton @ Auburn +10.8 150.6 85% 70–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.