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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–6 on winners
spread MAE 9.2
13 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Columbia
@
Colgate
|
+15.3 | 150.5 | 89% | 61–89 | ✓ |
Mercer
@
Coastal Carolina
|
+6.8 | 138.0 | 74% | 74–69 | ✗ |
North Carolina Central
@
The Citadel
|
+11.1 | 150.4 | 86% | 67–80 | ✓ |
Presbyterian
@
Morehead State
|
+10.1 | 128.9 | 83% | 66–71 | ✓ |
Towson
@
Kent State
|
+2.9 | 136.1 | 63% | 73–58 | ✗ |
Delaware State
@
Liberty
|
+15.7 | 129.0 | 89% | 60–96 | ✓ |
Illinois
@
Iowa
|
+10.5 | 157.8 | 84% | 87–83 | ✗ |
Alcorn State
@
Houston
|
+24.3 | 138.9 | 91% | 45–77 | ✓ |
New Mexico State
@
New Mexico
|
+2.7 | 157.5 | 61% | 78–76 | ✗ |
San José State
@
Pepperdine
|
-0.1 | 136.3 | 44% | 69–82 | ✗ |
Sacred Heart
@
Rhode Island
|
+15.1 | 139.0 | 87% | 62–72 | ✓ |
Vermont
@
Providence
|
+9.0 | 132.7 | 79% | 58–68 | ✓ |
Virginia
@
James Madison
|
-0.5 | 130.3 | 44% | 49–52 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.