Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -21.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +28 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -21.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -18.3 (+9.7) | 147.1 (+2.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -15.3 (+12.7) | 150.5 (-0.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -16.5 (+11.5) | 151.1 (-1.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -16.4 (+11.6) | 151.1 (-1.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 1-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 3-10 |
| Away | 8-10 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#129) | -14.0 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#214) | -2.96 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#213) | -4.36 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#192) | 0.305 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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