Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -33.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +32 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -28.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -27.2 (+4.8) | 136.4 (-14.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -24.3 (+7.7) | 138.9 (-16.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -26.4 (+5.6) | 136.1 (-14.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -28.5 (+3.5) | 137.5 (-15.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2020 | HOU 88 – 55 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 14-4 |
| Home | 16-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 9-13 |
| Neutral | 9-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.8 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 21.0 (#4) | -2.2 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#45) | -1.60 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.62 (#31) | -2.24 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#39) | 0.445 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 42.2% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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