Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | URI -17.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -14.3 (-4.3) | 138.7 (-4.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -15.1 (-5.1) | 139.0 (-5.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -17.0 (-7.0) | 139.7 (-5.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -16.9 (-6.9) | 138.0 (-4.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#71) | -6.0 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#92) | -1.36 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#86) | -2.37 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#50) | 0.427 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.