← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–3 on winners
spread MAE 13.5
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryant
@
Cincinnati
|
+18.2 | 136.3 | 91% | 58–73 | ✓ |
Fordham
@
St. John's
|
+6.3 | 152.5 | 75% | 69–83 | ✓ |
Arizona State
@
Oregon
|
+6.2 | 137.0 | 76% | 69–67 | ✗ |
Ohio State
@
Penn State
|
-0.7 | 135.1 | 46% | 76–64 | ✓ |
Charleston Southern
@
Tarleton State
|
+14.6 | 133.5 | 89% | 59–57 | ✗ |
Texas Southern
@
Florida
|
+18.7 | 137.7 | 90% | 69–54 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.