Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | PSU +180 OSU -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +12 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -1.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -0.7 (-11.3) | 134.0 (+6.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -0.7 (-11.3) | 135.1 (+4.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -1.4 (-10.6) | 137.1 (+2.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -0.6 (-11.4) | 135.1 (+4.9) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | OSU 94 – 62 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | OSU 84 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | OSU 83 – 64 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OSU 79 – 67 PSU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | PSU 83 – 80 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#116) | 9.8 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#185) | 2.69 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#195) | 4.22 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#129) | 0.681 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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