I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–4 on winners spread MAE 14.9 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Jackson State @ Louisville +38.2 154.4 91% 70–106 ✓
Campbell @ West Virginia +15.7 140.9 85% 65–73 ✓
The Citadel @ Boston College — — — 47–76 —
Illinois State @ Ohio — — — 68–72 —
Central Connecticut @ Quinnipiac — — — 49–71 —
Le Moyne @ Xavier — — — 69–74 —
Bethune-Cookman @ Miami +9.5 155.6 78% 61–101 ✓
Robert Morris @ Drake +13.6 155.3 85% 81–79 ✗
North Florida @ Florida — — — 64–104 —
Grambling @ Iowa State — — — 62–102 —
Merrimack @ Auburn +8.2 151.4 76% 57–95 ✓
Alcorn State @ South Alabama +13.7 156.5 87% 70–76 ✓
Northwestern State @ North Texas — — — 53–80 —
Texas Southern @ Texas A&M +27.4 150.1 90% 70–104 ✓
UC Riverside @ North Dakota — — — 74–70 —
Omaha @ Abilene Christian — — — 71–73 —
Cal State Northridge @ Northern Iowa — — — 57–86 —
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ SMU — — — 58–69 —
Chicago State @ Saint Louis +18.2 152.6 88% 86–108 ✓
Saint Francis @ TCU +4.6 151.4 71% 63–104 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Loyola Chicago +7.4 146.9 77% 73–65 ✗
Denver @ Washington +18.0 148.2 88% 70–84 ✓
Wright State @ California — — — 67–77 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Portland — — — 74–83 —
Columbia @ New Haven — — — 71–53 —
SIU Edwardsville @ UTSA — — — 77–60 —
Northeastern @ Colgate +11.6 149.2 81% 68–65 ✗
Charleston @ Liberty — — — 75–90 —
Boston University @ Northwestern +11.1 136.2 73% 52–76 ✓
Georgetown @ Maryland +18.2 149.3 86% 70–60 ✗
Tulsa @ Rhode Island — — — 82–65 —
Green Bay @ Buffalo +13.2 150.7 84% 76–83 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Ohio State +10.0 164.3 78% 68–94 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.