Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | NU -2000 BU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +24 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | NU -14.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | NU -7.7 (+16.3) | 134.9 (-6.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -11.1 (+12.9) | 136.2 (-8.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#118) | 7.0 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#72) | 2.18 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#79) | 2.53 (#12) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 21.4% |
| REB / G | 49.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 51.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 30.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 79.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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