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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–4 on winners
spread MAE 9.4
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Thomas
@
Western Illinois
|
-2.6 | 146.2 | 37% | 67–60 | ✓ |
Chattanooga
@
Wofford
|
-1.4 | 150.7 | 46% | 74–62 | ✓ |
Northern Arizona
@
Eastern Washington
|
+6.1 | 150.4 | 72% | 81–80 | ✗ |
Northwestern
@
Rutgers
|
+4.0 | 125.0 | 63% | 65–53 | ✗ |
Wisconsin
@
Minnesota
|
-6.6 | 133.2 | 23% | 71–67 | ✓ |
LSU New Orleans
@
Houston Christian
|
-1.3 | 157.1 | 42% | 90–69 | ✓ |
Texas State
@
Louisiana
|
+5.6 | 140.6 | 73% | 58–64 | ✓ |
Delaware
@
Towson
|
+3.9 | 142.1 | 67% | 60–86 | ✓ |
South Dakota
@
North Dakota State
|
+4.6 | 142.0 | 67% | 68–70 | ✓ |
Northern Colorado
@
Montana State
|
+7.0 | 143.8 | 78% | 73–84 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
Nicholls
|
+5.2 | 142.9 | 74% | 77–71 | ✗ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Hofstra
|
+6.2 | 134.0 | 77% | 79–73 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.