Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +1 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -5.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -4.9 (-5.9) | 148.2 (+12.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -5.8 (-6.8) | 144.8 (+16.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -5.9 (-6.9) | 149.0 (+12.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -6.1 (-7.1) | 150.4 (+10.6) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | EWU 88 – 57 NAU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NAU 92 – 86 EWU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAU 66 – 53 EWU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NAU 87 – 67 EWU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NAU 70 – 61 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-1 | 6-8 |
| Away | 10-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#129) | -3.2 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#108) | -1.28 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#114) | -1.22 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#105) | 0.443 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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