Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +6 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | UL -6.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -5.2 (+0.8) | 138.8 (-16.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -4.9 (+1.1) | 135.8 (-13.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -5.9 (+0.1) | 140.3 (-18.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -5.6 (+0.4) | 140.6 (-18.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UL 67 – 54 TXST |
| Jan 15, 2026 | TXST 59 – 54 UL |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UL 70 – 61 TXST |
| Jan 23, 2025 | TXST 89 – 74 UL |
| Jan 28, 2024 | UL 66 – 46 TXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-0 | 4-10 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#97) | -1.1 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#76) | -0.19 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#74) | -0.24 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#46) | 0.480 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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