Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -250 MCN +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -5.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -4.8 (-10.8) | 143.5 (+4.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -4.9 (-10.9) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -5.6 (-11.6) | 142.4 (+5.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -5.2 (-11.2) | 142.9 (+5.1) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | MCN 75 – 65 NICH |
| Jan 13, 2026 | MCN 94 – 68 NICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NICH 71 – 63 MCN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MCN 80 – 71 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MCN 92 – 76 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#274) | -11.2 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#254) | -1.92 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#252) | -2.69 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#207) | 0.452 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.2% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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