Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +12 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -2.2 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -1.2 (-10.8) | 149.8 (-13.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -2.4 (-9.6) | 147.6 (-11.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -1.3 (-10.7) | 150.5 (-14.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -1.4 (-10.6) | 150.7 (-14.7) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#221) | -0.7 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#235) | -0.54 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#245) | -0.59 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#230) | 0.496 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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