Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.0 Under |
| Money | HCU +152 NOLA -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +21 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | NOLA -1.2 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -1.2 (-19.8) | 156.3 (+2.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -1.6 (-19.4) | 155.1 (+3.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -1.2 (-19.8) | 157.2 (+1.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -1.3 (-19.7) | 157.1 (+1.9) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NOLA 73 – 60 HCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | HCU 61 – 60 NOLA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | HCU 85 – 76 NOLA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HCU 81 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | HCU 86 – 76 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-8 | 6-9 |
| Away | 2-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.0 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -14.4 (#356) | -13.1 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#352) | -2.07 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#352) | -2.55 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#350) | 0.413 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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