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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–3 on winners
spread MAE 9.4
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma
@
UConn
|
+3.6 | 142.2 | 64% | 59–67 | ✓ |
Xavier
@
Illinois
|
+4.1 | 161.2 | 71% | 73–86 | ✓ |
Bryant
@
Michigan State
|
+21.1 | 152.5 | 90% | 62–87 | ✓ |
Liberty
@
Oregon
|
+8.4 | 139.7 | 77% | 52–81 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
Chattanooga
|
+0.4 | 153.7 | 47% | 72–87 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
Purdue
|
+7.7 | 138.1 | 78% | 62–76 | ✓ |
Bradley
@
George Mason
|
+4.7 | 132.9 | 63% | 75–67 | ✗ |
Arkansas
@
St. John's
|
+5.5 | 145.2 | 66% | 75–66 | ✗ |
Michigan
@
Texas A&M
|
+0.6 | 140.4 | 47% | 91–79 | ✗ |
Drake
@
Texas Tech
|
+8.7 | 129.9 | 76% | 64–77 | ✓ |
Creighton
@
Auburn
|
+12.2 | 149.8 | 87% | 70–82 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.